ZX Market Snapshot: May, 2021:
Reported Holdings: Quarter Ending March 31, 2021:
1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings
3 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
4 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat
| Company | Normalized Std Dev5 | $ Weighted Avg | Max | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Leap | 1.57 | $1.56 | $9.21 | $0.00 |
| Docker | .83 | $1.20 | $3.00 | $0.65 |
| Lookout | .49 | $7.54 | $11.75 | $3.39 |
| Prosper Marketplace | .44 | $0.72 | $1.45 | $0.57 |
| CNEX Labs | .41 | $9.45 | $15.23 | $6.85 |
5 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.
6 Premium and Discount agnostic to share class
ZX saw 173% more asks than bids in May, a continuation of the April trend of ZX ask volume exceeding bid volume. May ZX transactions priced from a 66.5% discount to a 121.6% premium to most recent financings.
On average, ZX Firm Buy Orders sit at a 17.3% premium to March’s median holding values, highlighted by bids in Rubrik, Cohesity and Tanium at 36.4%, 31.5% and 18.2% respectively. This month saw no ZX Firm Offers at a discount to March’s median holding values.
Reporting holders marked up their private portfolios 26.7% in the March reporting period, the largest monthly appreciation in two years. Also seeing the fifth consecutive month of gains, March saw significant mark-ups in SpaceX, Epic Games, Fanatics and Databricks. Nearly two companies advanced for every one marked down.
Fifteen companies were marked-up by 100% or more, led by Rover, Insitro, Axiom Space, Patreon and ServiceTitan. Druva, Centrexion, Enjoy, Ripple, and D2iQ saw the largest mark-downs.
Notable positive and negative reversals include WeWork, seeing its first positive reversal in 7 quarters, and Honest Co, seeing a negative reversal for the first time in three years ahead of its April IPO.
Magic Leap saw the highest pricing variance reported by individual funds, with some valuing the company’s shares as high as $9.21 and others reporting write-offs.
ZX Firm Orders are unique to ZX. A ZX Firm Order (Offer or Bid) is a form of contract accepted on ZX, that allows a buyer or seller to contractually commit themselves to trading at the terms of an order ticket should a bona fide counterparty be presented, or pay a fee set to 10% of the notional value of the transaction should they fail to transact. Zanbato developed the concept of a Firm Order for private stock trading to solve for frequent frustration that parties often hold themselves out as buyers or sellers, but then pull out of transactions when counterparties are presented.
This report is based on data reported by 200+ funds. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance.
Zanbato Securities LLC (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for factual information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information was believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.
Go to zanbato.com