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ZX Data private stock trade

Executive Summary

  • This quarter, reporting holders marked up their private portfolios by 0.5% ($ weighted) with an average mark-down of 2.6% (equal weighted).
  • Sentiment up:
  • Sentiment down:
  • In November, 21% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 10% or less compared to Fund Marks, and 41% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 20% or less compared to Fund Marks.

Heat Map: September 30th, 2024 Reporting Period

0.5%

Appreciation/Depreciation of All Reported Holdings1

-2.6%

Average Mark-Up/Mark-Down Across All Reported Holdings2
Clear Labs
400.0%
Volocopter
130.0%
Magic Leap
81.3%
Contentful
58.0%
Revolut
54.2%
EquipmentShare
49.7%
OpenAI
47.2%
Whoop
46.7%
ContentSquare
33.4%
Plaid
33.3%
Bolt
31.2%
Waymo
29.9%
Vanta
29.1%
Loft Orbital
28.1%
Underdog Fantasy
25.8%
Swiggy
25.6%
Essence Group
22.9%
Versa Networks
20.2%
Malwarebytes
19.9%
Rad Power
18.7%
SmartHR
17.8%
InSilico
16.3%
KoBold Metals
15.8%
Tory Burch
15.7%
Via Transportation
15.7%
Wagestream
15.1%
Beta Bionics
14.8%
Somatus
14.8%
Fundbox
14.6%
Varo Money
14.4%
MNTN
14.1%
Lightmatter
12.9%
Betterment
12.1%
Chime
12.1%
YAP Therapeutics
11.9%
Databricks
11.6%
SirionLabs
11.6%
Lenskart
11.5%
Musely
11.5%
Deepgram
11.0%
Superhuman
11.0%
Diamond Foundry
10.8%
Jerry
10.8%
StockX
10.3%
Wugen
10.2%
Tealium
10.1%
Treeline Bio
10.0%
Teya (SaltPay)
9.7%
GroundTruth
9.5%
Pine Labs
9.5%
Starling Bank
9.2%
Unqork
9.2%
Invaio Sciences
8.9%
Klarna
8.9%
Grammarly
8.8%
Moveworks
8.8%
CoreWeave
8.7%
Evozyne
8.6%
Intercom
8.5%
Fanatics
8.4%
Druva
8.1%
Ant Group
7.5%
Anthropic
7.5%
Evolve Vacation
7.3%
Andpad
7.2%
Breeze Airways
7.2%
Trumid
6.9%
Acrisure
6.8%
Caidya (dMed)
6.8%
Tenstorrent
6.8%
Genesys
6.7%
QuintoAndar
6.5%
Bytedance
6.4%
Pivot Bio
6.4%
Algolia
5.9%
DataStax
5.9%
GupShup
5.7%
Stripe
5.7%
Scale AI
5.3%
Cybereason
5.0%
Figma
4.9%
Kraken
4.9%
Alamar Bio
4.8%
Snyk
4.8%
Ripple
4.5%
StubHub
4.2%
WorkRise
4.2%
N26
4.1%
EverDrop
4.0%
Clarify Health
3.9%
Roofstock
3.9%
AnyRoad
3.7%
Sierra Space
3.6%
Collective Health
3.5%
ThoughtSpot
3.4%
Canva
3.2%
Gusto
3.2%
Apartment List
3.1%
PsiQuantum
2.9%
INRIX
2.8%
Locus Robotics
2.8%
Skydio
2.7%
Johnnie-O
2.6%
Lumicks
2.2%
Tanium
2.2%
Epic Games
2.1%
VAST Data
2.1%
Dragos
2.0%
ElevateBio
2.0%
Acronis
1.9%
OpenSpace
1.9%
Ocrolus
1.8%
Upgrade
1.8%
Click Therapeutics
1.7%
CloudBees
1.7%
Crossover Health
1.7%
Ursa
1.7%
BigID
1.6%
Bowery
1.6%
Docker
1.6%
Hearth
1.5%
JumpCloud
1.5%
Moloco
1.5%
Bolt Financial
1.3%
Medical Micro
1.3%
ResearchGate
1.2%
Verge Genomics
1.2%
Deep Instinct
1.1%
Validere
1.1%
DNA Script
1.0%
SingleStore
1.0%
Caris
0.9%
Xsight Labs
0.9%
OfferUp
0.8%
Retym
0.8%
Nanotronics
0.7%
Omada Health
0.7%
CiBo
0.6%
Newfront Insurance
0.6%
ServiceTitan
0.6%
Carbon 3D
0.5%
Bright Machines
0.4%
Cohere Technologies
0.4%
Hightouch
0.4%
NextRoll
0.4%
Lime
0.3%
Cerebras
0.2%
Contrast Security
0.2%
FLEXE
0.2%
Nuro
0.2%
BETA Technologies
0.1%
Capsule
0.1%
Meesho
0.1%
Saluda Medical
0.1%
Skyryse
0.1%
ADARx
0.0%
Airtable
0.0%
Anyscale
0.0%
Arcadia
0.0%
AtoB
0.0%
Attentive
0.0%
Avalyn Pharma
0.0%
BlueJay Therapeutics
0.0%
Bombas
0.0%
Brain Corp
0.0%
Cellanome
0.0%
Celonis
0.0%
Chroma
0.0%
ClassDojo
0.0%
ClearMotion
0.0%
Clio
0.0%
CNEX Labs
0.0%
Coalition
0.0%
Cohesity
0.0%
Compliable
0.0%
ConsenSys
0.0%
Cross River
0.0%
Curology
0.0%
DBT Labs
0.0%
Delfi
0.0%
Devoted
0.0%
Dialpad
0.0%
Earnin
0.0%
Eikon
0.0%
EndeavorBio
0.0%
Envoy
0.0%
Epirus
0.0%
Exo Imaging
0.0%
FabFitFun
0.0%
Filevine
0.0%
FlashParking
0.0%
FogPharma
0.0%
Freenome
0.0%
Frubana
0.0%
Galvanize
0.0%
Generate Bio
0.0%
Genesis Therapeutics
0.0%
Happy Money
0.0%
HaulHub
0.0%
Honor Tech
0.0%
Hover
0.0%
Hydrow
0.0%
Inscripta
0.0%
Insitro
0.0%
IntelyCare
0.0%
Jetti Resources
0.0%
Jetty
0.0%
JOKR
0.0%
Kardium
0.0%
Kartos Therapeutics
0.0%
Lambda Labs
0.0%
Minted
0.0%
Misfits Market
0.0%
Neon
0.0%
Nutcracker
0.0%
Obsidian Therapeutics
0.0%
Odyssey Therapeutics
0.0%
Omio
0.0%
Overtime
0.0%
Pair Eyewear
0.0%
Passport
0.0%
PayJoy
0.0%
Printify
0.0%
Public
0.0%
Ramp
0.0%
RapidSOS
0.0%
Rappi
0.0%
Rapyd
0.0%
Redwood Materials
0.0%
RefleXion Medical
0.0%
Resilience
0.0%
Scribe
0.0%
SecurityScorecard
0.0%
Seismic
0.0%
Sila Nano
0.0%
Sionna
0.0%
SpaceX
0.0%
Tessera
0.0%
Thirty Madison
0.0%
True Footage
0.0%
Uniphore
0.0%
Voyager Space
0.0%
WiTricity
0.0%
x.AI
0.0%
Zero Mass Water
0.0%
Zipline
0.0%
Checkr
-0.1%
Dataminr
-0.1%
Immuta
-0.1%
Astranis
-0.2%
Houzz
-0.2%
Lyst
-0.2%
GOAT
-0.5%
goPuff
-0.5%
Verily
-0.5%
CaaStle
-0.6%
Farmers Business Network
-0.6%
Arctic Wolf
-0.7%
Flexport
-0.8%
Verbit
-0.8%
Loadsmart
-1.0%
OpenX
-1.0%
Domino Data
-1.3%
Tebra (PatientPop)
-1.3%
Lookout
-1.4%
DataRobot
-1.5%
StormWind
-1.5%
Akeana
-1.6%
Jumo
-1.6%
Impossible Foods
-1.7%
Motif FoodWorks
-1.7%
Netskope
-1.7%
SiMa ai
-2.4%
Asimov
-2.6%
Automation Anywhere
-3.2%
Kalderos
-3.6%
Aledade
-4.3%
Leapwork
-4.3%
Zocdoc
-4.4%
SkySafe
-5.0%
Impulse Dynamics
-5.3%
JUUL
-5.6%
Motive (KeepTruckin)
-5.6%
Snorkel AI
-5.7%
Cleerly
-5.8%
Circle
-5.9%
GrubMarket
-6.2%
MasterClass
-6.6%
Color Genomics
-6.8%
Rivos
-7.0%
Aiven
-7.2%
Insight M
-7.2%
Anchorage
-7.4%
Trax
-7.6%
SiFive
-8.2%
Relativity Space
-8.6%
Asapp
-8.7%
Automattic
-9.8%
Axiom Space
-9.9%
Liquid Death
-9.9%
Tarana
-10.2%
Lyra Health
-10.5%
Blink Health
-11.2%
Valo Health
-11.4%
Icertis
-12.0%
Thriveworks
-13.9%
Enevate
-14.3%
Included Health (Grand Rounds)
-14.4%
X Holdings
-15.8%
Discord
-16.1%
Eruditus
-16.2%
Foursquare
-17.2%
Forum Brands
-17.6%
Caresyntax
-19.3%
Element Bio
-19.5%
SambaNova
-20.7%
Lessen
-20.9%
FourKites
-21.6%
Jeeves
-21.9%
Tipalti
-21.9%
Noodle
-22.8%
Course Hero
-23.6%
Orchard
-24.4%
Prosper Marketplace
-25.6%
Super73
-25.6%
ChromaCode
-26.3%
Aspen Neuroscience
-26.4%
OwnBackup
-26.8%
Lilac Solutions
-27.3%
CelLink
-27.9%
Savage X
-30.4%
Prosimo
-31.9%
Patreon
-32.9%
Socure
-33.4%
Centrexion
-37.5%
Yotpo
-38.4%
Turo
-38.5%
Solugen
-38.6%
Carbon Health
-40.0%
Stash
-43.8%
Brex
-44.2%
Illumio
-44.2%
Outreach
-47.3%
Laronde
-47.6%
Dapper Labs
-48.0%
I-Pulse
-48.1%
Ring Therapeutics
-50.0%
SalioGen
-50.0%
Voltron Data
-59.2%
Fabletics
-59.5%
Kandou
-65.2%
RealSelf
-65.2%
ABL Space
-66.8%
Arbor Bio
-75.2%
Binx Health
-75.3%
Einride
-78.7%
Claris Bio
-90.0%

1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings

This quarter, reporting holders marked up their private portfolios by 0.5% ($ weighted) with an average mark-down of 2.6% (equal weighted). The period saw five advancing companies for every three declining companies.

Clear Labs experienced the most significant mark-up, followed by Volocopter, Magic Leap and Contentful. HR Tech, CleanTech and CloudTech & DevOps saw the largest mark-ups across sectors.

Claris Bio saw the largest mark-down followed by Einride, Binx Health and Arbor Bio. Among sectors, Data & Analytics, EdTech and Semiconductors saw the largest mark-downs.

Comparison of ZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks

CompaniesRobustness Score3ZX Index Values4 vs. Fund Marks
MasterClass1+176.30%
Lightmatter7+174.10%
Earnin1+160.60%
Checkr1+158.40%
Skydio2+152.90%
Capsule1+118.00%
Lime2+97.40%
Whoop2+87.40%
Sila Nano1+84.80%
Anthropic8+79.00%
Socure1+44.50%
Lyra Health1+44.00%
x.AI7+42.40%
QuintoAndar2+41.10%
Aledade5+38.90%
Docker1+36.50%
Anduril7+31.10%
Cerebras7+27.70%
Figma7+25.10%
Lambda Labs5+24.90%
Printify1+24.60%
Icertis1+24.40%
Stripe7+23.60%
Meesho1+23.10%
FourKites1+19.30%
Epirus1+17.00%
GupShup1+16.30%
Canva5+16.00%
CoreWeave8+12.60%
Airtable4+11.80%
Ramp4+10.20%
Redwood Materials5+9.50%
Varo Money1+8.30%
Databricks8+7.60%
Moloco1+7.50%
VAST Data6+5.90%
SpaceX7+5.50%
Celonis2+3.30%
Devoted1+3.20%
StockX2+2.50%
Bolt6+1.80%
DataRobot2+1.60%
Dragos1+1.20%
Netskope5+1.10%
Lyst2-1.00%
Loadsmart2-1.80%
Chime7-3.20%
Discord5-4.60%
Solugen1-6.50%
Loft Orbital5-6.70%
Waymo2-7.00%
Cross River1-7.00%
Intercom1-8.00%
Moveworks1-9.00%
Brex2-9.20%
Cohesity5-9.40%
Plaid5-9.90%
ServiceTitan5-10.00%
SiFive1-10.40%
Deepgram5-10.60%
BigID1-10.60%
Turo6-10.90%
Algolia6-11.70%
Tenstorrent4-12.70%
OpenAI6-14.70%
ContentSquare1-15.50%
Patreon1-15.70%
Scale AI8-16.70%
Anyscale2-16.70%
Revolut7-16.80%
Druva1-16.90%
Klarna8-19.10%
Omada Health3-19.30%
OwnBackup1-19.40%
Liquid Death6-19.70%
JUUL1-19.80%
Tanium1-20.70%
Illumio1-20.90%
Arctic Wolf5-21.60%
Attentive6-24.00%
Locus Robotics1-24.20%
Flexport1-25.00%
Relativity Space4-25.10%
Epic Games5-27.10%
Automation Anywhere4-27.90%
Axiom Space1-28.20%
Circle4-29.10%
SambaNova6-29.70%
Ripple6-31.20%
KoBold Metals1-33.00%
Malwarebytes1-33.40%
Gusto6-34.70%
Zipline1-35.90%
Somatus2-36.10%
Snyk4-36.20%
Fanatics4-37.40%
Rapyd4-39.30%
Acronis1-39.90%
EquipmentShare5-42.20%
SingleStore5-43.00%
Freenome1-43.50%
Bytedance6-43.90%
Lookout1-45.50%
Outreach2-45.70%
Upgrade1-45.90%
MNTN1-49.30%
Motive (KeepTruckin)1-49.40%
DBT Labs1-49.90%
GrubMarket1-52.10%
Zocdoc1-53.70%
Kraken7-54.00%
Dataminr4-54.30%
PsiQuantum6-55.90%
Cybereason1-56.00%
Via Transportation2-59.10%
Bolt Financial1-60.30%
Omio2-62.00%
Impossible Foods1-64.30%
DataStax1-65.70%
Domino Data1-66.60%
ConsenSys1-69.30%
Jeeves1-69.80%
Course Hero4-70.80%
ThoughtSpot1-75.00%
Verbit2-84.40%
CloudBees4-87.00%
Betterment2-91.10%

3 ZXData Robustness Score is an internally developed metric to assign confidence levels to the underlying data used in constructing ZXData output metrics. The ZXData Robustness Score is calculated on a scale of 1 to 10 for each company, based on the number of executed trades, number of buy and sell orders submitted to ZX and skewness of the order book.
4 ZX Index Value is an internally developed metric that reflects secondary values for private companies using an algorithmic approach based on the values sourced from ZX and ZXData partners. The algorithm used to calculate ZX Index Values incorporates both executed transaction values and bid and ask pricing.

In November, 21% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 10% or less compared to Fund Marks, and 41% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 20% or less compared to Fund Marks. Among the companies, MasterClass, Lightmatter and Earnin had the highest positive variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values. Betterment, CloudBees and Verbit had the highest negative variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values.

Highest Variance in Reported Marks
CompanyNormalized Std Dev5$ Weighted AvgMaxMin
Farmers Business Network1.31$4.46$39.14$1.86
Course Hero1.04$10.26$36.28$5.05
Lookout.83$4.62$10.30$0.95
GOAT.79$1.32$3.88$0.60
Rad Power.77$0.49$1.11$0.19

5 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.

This period, Farmers Business Network ($1.86 - $39.14) saw the highest share price variance across funds followed by Course Hero ($5.05 - $36.28) and Lookout ($0.95 - $10.30).

Positive Trend Reversal6 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Negative Trend Reversal7 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Positive Trend Reversal6 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Carbon 3D, Clear Labs
11
Evolve Vacation
10
Epirus, StockX
9
Jerry
8
Negative Trend Reversal7 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Caastle
7
Patreon, ServiceTitan
6
ABL Space
5
PsiQuantum
5

6 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
7 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat

Goop saw its first positive reversal in nine quarters while Dataminr saw its first positive reversal in seven quarters. Arctic Wolf, Omada Health, PsiQuantum, Relativity Space and Tory Burch all saw their first negative reversals in four quarters.

Disclaimer

This report is based on data reported by 300+ funds and $57+ billion of value. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance. This report does not constitute investment advice or a "research report" as defined by FINRA Rules.

The “ZX Index Value” is derived by applying proprietary weightings to the order flow data collected for the stated period (both bids and asks), based on the order type (firm order or indication of interest) and whether the order has been executed, with greater weight given to more recent orders.

Zanbato, Inc. (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information is believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.

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