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ZX Data private stock trade

Executive Summary

  • This quarter, reporting holders marked down their private portfolios by 1.7% ($ weighted) with an average mark-down of 5.9% (equal weighted). The period saw two companies declining for every advancing company.
  • Sentiment up:
  • Sentiment down:
  • In November, there was a significant gap between Fund Marks and ZX Index Values, with 89% of ZX Index companies showing a difference of 5% or more compared to Fund Marks.

Heat Map: September 30th, 2023 Reporting Period

-1.7%

Appreciation/Depreciation of All Reported Holdings1

-5.9%

Average Mark-Up/Mark-Down Across All Reported Holdings2
Hearth
149.5%
Course Hero
79.1%
Bolt Threads
74.8%
Heal
53.8%
Enevate
44.8%
Canva
44.6%
StubHub
41.1%
Druva
38.9%
Zocdoc
35.7%
Minted
31.2%
Relativity Space
26.1%
Swiggy
21.5%
Databricks
21.3%
Waymo
18.6%
Rubrik
15.4%
Earnin
14.1%
Whoop
11.7%
Illumio
11.1%
PsiQuantum
11.0%
Clio
9.8%
GupShup
9.7%
Starling Bank
9.6%
CloudBees
9.5%
Verge Genomics
8.8%
FlixBus
8.7%
Bytedance
7.4%
Honor Tech
7.3%
ResearchGate
7.3%
Tipalti
7.1%
Contentful
7.0%
JumpCloud
6.9%
ServiceTitan
6.8%
Cerebras
6.7%
QuintoAndar
6.5%
Kraken
6.4%
Ripple
6.4%
Dataminr
5.7%
Cohere Technologies
5.0%
Noodle
4.3%
Forum Brands
4.0%
Heap
3.9%
Meesho
3.9%
Nanotronics
3.6%
Essence Group
3.4%
Patreon
3.4%
Apartment List
3.3%
Arctic Wolf
3.2%
Domino Data
3.1%
InSilico
3.0%
Automattic
2.9%
Code 42
2.9%
SingleStore
2.9%
SiMa ai
2.8%
OpenX
2.5%
NextRoll
2.4%
Gusto
2.3%
Grammarly
2.0%
Devoted
1.8%
BrightEdge
1.6%
Motive (KeepTruckin)
1.6%
Versa Networks
1.3%
Somatus
1.0%
BETA Technologies
0.8%
Docker
0.8%
Dialpad
0.7%
Prosimo
0.6%
Lime
0.3%
Beta Bionics
0.2%
GrubMarket
0.2%
Turo
0.2%
WSO2
0.2%
Checkr
0.1%
Cohesity
0.1%
Stripe
0.1%
Accelerant
0.0%
Airtable
0.0%
Arbor Bio
0.0%
Astera Labs
0.0%
Axiom Space
0.0%
Caidya (dMed)
0.0%
Caris
0.0%
Cellanome
0.0%
Celonis
0.0%
Chainalysis
0.0%
Chroma
0.0%
ChromaCode
0.0%
Clear Labs
0.0%
ClearMotion
0.0%
Coalition
0.0%
Cross River
0.0%
Curology
0.0%
Cybereason
0.0%
DailyPay
0.0%
Delfi
0.0%
Eikon
0.0%
EndeavorBio
0.0%
Envoy
0.0%
Epirus
0.0%
EquipmentShare
0.0%
Exabeam
0.0%
FabFitFun
0.0%
Fanatics
0.0%
FogPharma
0.0%
Freenome
0.0%
Generate Bio
0.0%
Genesis Therapeutics
0.0%
HaulHub
0.0%
Headspace
0.0%
Highspot
0.0%
Hover
0.0%
Inscripta
0.0%
Insitro
0.0%
I-Pulse
0.0%
Kardium
0.0%
KoBold Metals
0.0%
Lumicks
0.0%
Malwarebytes
0.0%
Misfits Market
0.0%
Moloco
0.0%
Nutcracker
0.0%
Ocrolus
0.0%
Omio
0.0%
Overtime
0.0%
Pair Eyewear
0.0%
Passport
0.0%
PayJoy
0.0%
Printify
0.0%
PrognomIQ
0.0%
Rappi
0.0%
Redwood Materials
0.0%
Resilience
0.0%
Revolut
0.0%
Ring Therapeutics
0.0%
Roofstock
0.0%
SalioGen
0.0%
Saluda Medical
0.0%
Savage X
0.0%
Scribe
0.0%
SecurityScorecard
0.0%
SiFive
0.0%
Sila Nano
0.0%
Sionna
0.0%
Snyk
0.0%
Tarana
0.0%
Tebra (PatientPop)
0.0%
Tempus Labs
0.0%
Tessera
0.0%
Thirty Madison
0.0%
ThoughtSpot
0.0%
Thrasio
0.0%
Treeline Bio
0.0%
True Footage
0.0%
Uniphore
0.0%
Verbit
0.0%
Via Transportation
0.0%
Voyager Space
0.0%
Yotpo
0.0%
Zipline
0.0%
Contrast Security
-0.1%
SmartHR
-0.1%
WorkRise
-0.1%
Filevine
-0.3%
Voltron Data
-0.3%
YAP Therapeutics
-0.3%
Fundbox
-0.4%
Icertis
-0.4%
Omada Health
-0.4%
Capsule
-0.5%
ConsenSys
-0.5%
Retym
-0.5%
Blink Health
-0.6%
D2iQ
-0.6%
GaN Systems
-0.6%
Lookout
-0.6%
Verily
-0.6%
Brain Corp
-0.7%
MasterClass
-0.7%
IntelyCare
-0.9%
Houzz
-1.1%
Locus Robotics
-1.1%
Tealium
-1.2%
Carbon 3D
-1.5%
FlashParking
-1.5%
Deep Instinct
-1.9%
X Holdings
-1.9%
Impossible Foods
-2.2%
SpaceX
-2.4%
EverDrop
-2.7%
StormWind
-2.7%
Lightmatter
-2.8%
Pivot Bio
-2.8%
Compliable
-2.9%
N26
-2.9%
Volocopter
-3.0%
Betterment
-3.5%
DataStax
-3.5%
INRIX
-3.6%
WiTricity
-3.6%
DNA Script
-3.8%
Lessen
-4.1%
Lilac Solutions
-4.2%
Click Therapeutics
-4.3%
Hydrow
-4.3%
Acrisure
-4.5%
JOKR
-4.5%
Bolt
-4.6%
Reddit
-4.6%
Tanium
-4.8%
CiBo
-4.9%
Algolia
-5.2%
Aledade
-5.4%
Nuro
-5.4%
Included Health (Grand Rounds)
-5.6%
Lyst
-5.9%
Tenstorrent
-5.9%
Epic Games
-6.0%
Andpad
-6.1%
Kalderos
-6.8%
Einride
-6.9%
Trax
-6.9%
Loadsmart
-7.1%
Delphix
-7.2%
Solugen
-7.3%
Skyryse
-7.5%
Pine Labs
-7.6%
Foursquare
-7.7%
Thriveworks
-7.8%
Trumid
-7.9%
Evolve Vacation
-9.1%
SambaNova
-9.1%
ElevateBio
-9.4%
GroundTruth
-9.4%
Circle
-9.6%
DataRobot
-9.6%
ABL Space
-10.0%
Valo Health
-10.2%
Diamond Foundry
-10.7%
Upgrade
-10.7%
Resident Home
-11.3%
Element Bio
-11.9%
Collective Health
-12.1%
Johnnie-O
-12.3%
Discord
-12.8%
Neon
-12.9%
Tory Burch
-12.9%
Eruditus
-13.0%
RealSelf
-13.1%
Exo Imaging
-13.6%
Fabletics
-13.8%
Lyra Health
-14.3%
Orchard
-14.3%
Astranis
-15.1%
Breeze Airways
-15.4%
Rapyd
-15.5%
Seismic
-15.7%
Aiven
-17.0%
OfferUp
-17.3%
Bombas
-17.4%
Outreach
-17.8%
Xsight Labs
-18.0%
Ant Financial
-18.2%
Mynd Management
-18.2%
Adagio Medical
-19.2%
BYJU's
-19.6%
StockX
-19.7%
Asapp
-20.2%
Zero Mass Water
-20.5%
Musely
-20.6%
Laronde
-20.8%
Odyssey Therapeutics
-20.8%
Unqork
-21.2%
Varo Money
-21.2%
Snorkel AI
-21.4%
Bolt Financial
-21.7%
Invaio Sciences
-21.8%
Stash
-21.8%
Binx Health
-23.1%
Cleerly
-23.9%
goPuff
-25.3%
MNTN
-26.0%
Socure
-26.6%
Skydio
-26.8%
Automation Anywhere
-26.9%
Frubana
-27.4%
Convoy
-28.2%
Jerry
-28.2%
CNEX Labs
-28.3%
GOAT
-28.6%
Arcadia
-29.0%
RefleXion Medical
-33.1%
Carbon Health
-34.9%
Flexport
-37.1%
Rhino Labs
-37.4%
Prosper Marketplace
-38.2%
Neurogene
-38.5%
FLEXE
-43.9%
Color Genomics
-45.9%
Bowery
-50.8%
Ursa
-51.7%
Magic Leap
-52.5%
Rad Power
-55.0%
CelLink
-60.1%
Udacity
-61.3%
Farmers Business Network
-80.2%
PACT Pharma
-85.1%
JUUL
-85.3%
Getir
-88.1%

1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings

This quarter, reporting holders marked down their private portfolios by 1.70% ($ weighted) with an average mark-down of 5.9% (equal weighted). The period saw two companies declining for every advancing company.

Hearth experienced the most significant mark-up, followed by Course Hero, Bolt Threads and Heal. LegalTech, EdTech and SaaS saw the largest mark-ups across sectors.

Getir experienced the most significant mark-down, while JUUL, PACT Pharma and Farmers Business Network also experienced notable mark-downs. Among the sectors, AgTech, Logistics & Transportation, and HealthTech saw the largest mark-downs.

Comparison of ZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks

CompaniesZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks
Whoop+247.00%
Earnin+160.60%
Asapp+127.00%
Convoy+126.20%
Capsule+92.00%
Figma+84.00%
Druva+65.50%
Carbon Health+60.30%
Delphix+54.10%
goPuff+41.20%
Scale AI+38.00%
6Sense+37.90%
Tipalti+28.70%
Printify+24.60%
Icertis+21.00%
GupShup+21.00%
Cross River+19.50%
Stripe+15.00%
Astera Labs+11.80%
Docker+11.70%
Phenom+10.40%
Carta+8.80%
Harness+7.60%
SpaceX+6.70%
Intercom+5.50%
Solugen+4.20%
Algolia+2.60%
Notion+2.50%
Farmers Business Network+0.20%
Redwood Materials-0.30%
Canva-0.50%
Attentive-1.90%
DataRobot-3.30%
Discord-3.50%
Moloco-4.50%
Arcadia-4.60%
Celonis-4.70%
Circle-6.50%
Tanium-7.10%
Rubrik-8.40%
MNTN-9.10%
Locus Robotics-9.60%
Voyager Space-10.00%
Netskope-10.00%
Chainalysis-10.10%
Databricks-10.50%
Cohesity-12.10%
Verkada-12.20%
Relativity Space-12.50%
Flexport-12.60%
Airtable-12.70%
Socure-13.30%
Collective Health-13.80%
ServiceTitan-14.40%
Diamond Foundry-14.80%
BigID-15.30%
Turo-15.60%
Reddit-15.80%
FLEXE-16.10%
Automation Anywhere-16.30%
FourKites-16.50%
MasterClass-18.00%
Fanatics-19.00%
Arctic Wolf-20.60%
Loadsmart-20.90%
Varo Money-22.40%
Zipline-23.30%
DataStax-24.20%
Upgrade-26.40%
EquipmentShare-26.60%
Highspot-27.60%
Lightmatter-28.70%
Revolut-29.30%
BYJU’s-30.20%
SingleStore-31.00%
Resident Home-31.00%
SecurityScorecard-31.20%
Axiom Space-32.00%
Via Transportation-34.30%
Epic Games-35.30%
Cybereason-36.40%
Benchling-36.50%
SiFive-39.10%
Patreon-40.00%
Contrast Security-40.00%
Talkdesk-40.40%
Bytedance-42.00%
Exabeam-44.30%
Dataminr-46.90%
Cerebras-47.10%
Gusto-47.30%
Snyk-51.80%
Lookout-52.00%
Course Hero-52.80%
Outreach-55.20%
Project44-57.20%
Misfits Market-59.40%
SambaNova-61.20%
Coalition-61.50%
Ripple-62.30%
ThoughtSpot-65.20%
GoFundMe-66.10%
Illumio-67.60%
Reltio-68.00%
GrubMarket-68.30%
Impossible Foods-73.00%
ConsenSys-73.10%
Kraken-75.90%
Verbit-77.50%
Bolt Financial-77.70%
Thrasio-90.00%

In November, there was a significant gap between Fund Marks and ZX Index Values, with 89% of ZX Index companies showing a difference of 5% or more compared to Fund Marks. Among the companies, Whoop, Earnin and Asapp had the highest positive variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values. Thrasio, Bolt Financial and Verbit had the highest negative variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values.

Highest Variance in Reported Marks
CompanyNormalized Std Dev3$ Weighted AvgMaxMin
Farmers Business Network1.46$9.35$57.71$1.86
Whoop.97$0.59$1.65$0.28
GOAT.78$1.72$4.60$1.10
D2iQ.78$0.95$2.69$0.62
Rad Power.76$1.13$2.52$0.39

3 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.

This period, Farmers Business Network ($1.86 - $57.71) saw the highest share price variance across funds followed by Whoop ($0.28 - $1.65) and GOAT ($1.10 - $4.60).

Positive Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Negative Trend Reversal5 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Positive Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Hearth
9
Bolt Threads, Gupshup
8
Relativity Space
8
Waymo
8
Negative Trend Reversal5 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Farmers Business Network
11
Diamond Foundry
9
Acrisure, Invaio Sciences
7
RefleXion Medical
7

4 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
5 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat

Hearth saw its first positive reversal in nine quarters while Bolt Threads, GupShup, Relativity Space and Waymo saw their first positive reversals in two years. Farmers Business Network saw its first negative reversal in eleven quarters while Diamond Foundry saw its first negative reversal in nine quarters.

Disclaimer

This report is based on data reported by 270+ funds and $47 billion+ of value. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance. This report does not constitute investment advice or a "research report" as defined by FINRA Rules.

The “ZX Index Value” is derived by applying proprietary weightings to the order flow data collected for the stated period (both bids and asks), based on the order type (firm order or indication of interest) and whether the order has been executed, with greater weight given to more recent orders.

Zanbato, Inc. (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for factual information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information is believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.

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