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ZX Data private stock trade

Executive Summary

ZX Market Snapshot: March 2023:

  • Stripe, Flexport and OpenAI were the three most active companies on ZX in March.
  • Bids represented 38% of submitted tickets on ZX in March, 7% above the 12-month average of 31%.
  • March transactions priced from a 80.6% discount to a 73.5% premium to January average reported holding values.

ZXData Reported Holdings: Three months ending January 31st, 2023

  • This quarter, reporting holders experienced a 2.8% increase in the value of their private portfolios, marking the first period of appreciation in a year. The average mark-up during this period was 3.0%.
  • Sentiment up:
  • Sentiment down:

Heat Map: January 31st, 2023 Reporting Period

2.8%

Appreciation/Depreciation of All Reported Holdings1

3.0%

Average Mark-Up/Mark-Down Across All Reported Holdings2
JUUL
117.0%
KoBold Metals
56.1%
Menlo Micro
38.7%
Smule
38.7%
Tempus Labs
33.6%
Starling Bank
28.9%
OneTrust
28.8%
Bytedance
26.0%
dMed
22.4%
Benchling
20.6%
Meesho
20.5%
Tenstorrent
19.3%
Instacart
18.9%
Diamond Foundry
17.0%
Noodle
16.7%
Ursa
16.1%
MOD Pizza
15.7%
Xsight Labs
14.6%
Optoro
14.3%
Pine Labs
14.0%
Bolt
12.7%
IL Makiage
12.1%
Blink Health
11.7%
SpaceX
10.0%
Fanatics
9.6%
Canva
8.9%
Discord
7.9%
Breeze Airways
7.7%
GOAT
7.7%
ClearMotion
7.6%
LifeMine
7.6%
SiMa ai
7.5%
Sonoma Bio
6.9%
Bright Peak
6.1%
Astera Labs
5.2%
Stripe
5.0%
CelLink
4.8%
Alif Semi
4.7%
KRY
2.9%
Tory Burch
2.8%
Ant Financial
2.6%
Checkr
2.6%
Farmers Business Network
1.7%
Snyk
1.0%
Skyryse
0.8%
Verge Genomics
0.2%
A24 Films
0.0%
Algolia
0.0%
Arctic Wolf
0.0%
Boundless Bio
0.0%
Caris
0.0%
Castle Creek
0.0%
Cybereason
0.0%
Druva
0.0%
Evozyne
0.0%
Grammarly
0.0%
Gusto
0.0%
Lilac Solutions
0.0%
Magic Leap
0.0%
Resilience
0.0%
SandboxAQ
0.0%
Savage X
0.0%
Sila Nano
0.0%
T-Knife
0.0%
Wugen
0.0%
Lime
-0.4%
SambaNova
-0.4%
AgBiome
-0.5%
PsiQuantum
-0.9%
Treeline Bio
-2.3%
Rad Power
-2.4%
Celonis
-2.5%
Deep Instinct
-2.6%
Redwood Materials
-2.8%
GupShup
-2.9%
Relativity Space
-2.9%
Reddit
-3.1%
Newsela
-3.5%
Loadsmart
-4.9%
BETA Technologies
-6.7%
Wasabi Technologies
-7.0%
Versa Networks
-7.5%
Databricks
-8.0%
Epic Games
-8.2%
Phononic
-8.8%
Astranis
-9.1%
VideoAmp
-9.1%
Waymo
-10.1%
Chime
-12.7%
Tanium
-13.9%
Illumio
-14.2%
goPuff
-14.4%
Dataminr
-15.0%
SaltPay
-15.1%
Creditas
-15.5%
Bolt Threads
-16.9%
Lacework
-16.9%
BYJU's
-17.9%
MNTN
-19.2%
Talkdesk
-20.2%
Exo Imaging
-20.3%
Snorkel AI
-20.4%
Bowery
-21.0%
Delphix
-21.6%
Signifyd
-21.6%
Essence Group
-22.0%
Tula Tech
-22.4%
Lookout
-24.2%
Convoy
-24.3%
JumpCloud
-24.4%
Zero Mass Water
-25.3%
ABL Space
-27.3%
MasterClass
-29.9%
Rappi
-30.1%
Circle
-31.1%
Nuro
-33.4%
Enevate
-36.1%
Blaize
-56.7%
X Holdings
-60.3%
Mythic AI
-96.4%

1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings

Analysis

Positive Trend Reversal3 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Negative Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Positive Trend Reversal3 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
JUUL
13
ANT Financial, Smule
8
dMed
7
Instacart, Stripe
6
Negative Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Waymo
9
Nuro
8
Farmers Business Network
5
Celonis, Creditas, VideoAmp
3

3 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
4 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat

Highest Variance in Reported Marks5
CompanyNormalized Std Dev5$ Weighted AvgMaxMin
Redwood Materials.49$38.33$78.00$29.50
Phononic.38$0.60$1.15$0.50
Blaize.30$2.48$3.12$1.63
Wasabi Technologies.15$11.41$14.07$10.32
Stripe.15$24.80$26.87$18.49

5 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.

ZX Marketed Bids at Greatest Premium to Latest Reported Median Holding Value6
Canva
+45.0%
ZX Marketed Offers at Greatest Discount to Latest Reported Median Holding Value6
SambaNova
-65.3%
Farmers Business Network
-54.7%
Epic Games
-45.7%
Cybereason
-39.5%

6 Premium and Discount agnostic to share class

ZX Market Snapshot: March 2023

Most Active Companies7

1
arrow up
Stripe
2
arrow down
Flexport
3
arrow up
OpenAI
4
arrow up
Attentive
5
arrow up
Epic Games
6
arrow down
Databricks
7
arrow down
SpaceX
8
Discord
9
Snyk
10
arrow up
Rippling

7 Companies that received the most ticket and profile view activity over the last 30 days

Stripe, Flexport and OpenAI were the three most active companies on ZX in March.

Bids represented 38% of submitted tickets on ZX in March, 7% above the 12-month average of 31%. March transactions priced from a 80.6% discount to a 73.5% premium to January average reported holding values.

On average, ZX Sell Orders were offered at a 30.9% discount to January’s median holding values, highlighted by offers in SambaNova, Farmers Business Network, Epic Games and Cybereason. On the buyside, Canva had the only bid which sits at a 45% premium to January’s median holding value.

ZXData Reported Holdings Commentary: Three months ending January 31st, 2023

This reporting quarter, holders experienced a 2.8% increase in the value of their private portfolios, marking the first period of appreciation in a year. The average mark-up during this period was 3.0%.

This reporting quarter, JUUL experienced the most significant increase in value, followed by KoBold Metals, Menlo Micro, and Smule as other notable gainers. Platforms, Manufacturing and Hardware saw the largest appreciation in value across sectors.

Mythic AI experienced the most substantial decrease in value, with X Holdings, Blaize, and Enevate also showing significant declines. Among the sectors, Renewable Energy, EdTech, and Privacy & Security experienced the most depreciation in value during this reporting period.

JUUL experienced its first positive reversals in thirteen quarters while Ant Financial and Smule experienced their first positive reversals in two years. Waymo experienced its first negative reversal in nine quarters, while Nuro and Farmers Business Network experienced their first negative reversals in eight and five quarters, respectively.

This reporting period, Redwood Materials ($29.50 - $78.00) saw the highest share price variance across funds followed by Phononic ($0.50 - $1.15) and Blaize ($1.63 - $3.12).

Disclaimer

This report is based on data reported by 250+ funds and $40 billion+ of value. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance. This report does not constitute investment advice or a "research report" as defined by FINRA Rules.

Zanbato, Inc. (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for factual information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information is believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.

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