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ZX Data private stock trade

Executive Summary

  • This quarter, reporting holders marked-up their private portfolios by 6.5% ($ weighted) with an average mark-up of 0.9% (equal weighted). This is the largest mark-up ($ weighted) since October, 2021. The period saw three companies advancing for every two declining companies.
  • Sentiment up:
  • Sentiment down:
  • The variance between Fund Marks and ZX Index Values is considerable with 91% of ZX Index companies showing a deviation of 5% or more versus Fund Marks.

Heat Map: July 31st, 2023 Reporting Period

6.5%

Appreciation/Depreciation of All Reported Holdings1

0.9%

Average Mark-Up/Mark-Down Across All Reported Holdings2
BETA Technologies
82.3%
OneTrust
48.5%
Snorkel AI
42.8%
Swiggy
42.1%
SambaNova
37.5%
Smule
37.5%
MNTN
35.6%
Volta Trucks
35.0%
Breeze Airways
27.8%
Bytedance
26.7%
X Holdings
25.4%
Verge Genomics
23.0%
Celonis
22.6%
Ant Financial
21.4%
Canva
20.9%
Wasabi Technologies
19.5%
Databricks
19.2%
Starling Bank
18.0%
Benchling
17.7%
Meesho
14.3%
Astera Labs
13.4%
GOAT
10.9%
PsiQuantum
10.9%
Waymo
10.3%
Skyryse
9.8%
Tenstorrent
9.3%
Blink Health
8.7%
Lookout
8.5%
Alif Semi
8.3%
Tanium
8.2%
Illumio
7.1%
Menlo Micro
7.1%
T-Knife
7.1%
Versa Networks
7.1%
Wugen
7.1%
Fanatics
6.4%
Lacework
5.9%
Enevate
5.2%
Dataminr
5.1%
LifeMine
5.1%
SpaceX
5.1%
Relativity Space
4.7%
Checkr
4.6%
Tempus Labs
4.1%
Evozyne
3.3%
SiMa ai
2.7%
Talkdesk
2.7%
Rapyd
2.5%
Stripe
2.4%
Teya (SaltPay)
2.4%
goPuff
2.2%
Pine Labs
2.2%
YuLife
2.1%
Ursa
2.0%
Newsela
1.5%
Optoro
1.5%
MOD Pizza
1.4%
Instacart
1.3%
ABL Space
1.0%
Neon
1.0%
Essence Group
0.6%
Tula Tech
0.6%
GaN Systems
0.5%
Volocopter
0.5%
Bolt
0.4%
CelLink
0.3%
Farmers Business Network
0.1%
A24 Films
0.0%
Accelerant
0.0%
Blaize
0.0%
Boundless Bio
0.0%
Cadre
0.0%
Caris
0.0%
Cross River
0.0%
Cybereason
0.0%
Deep Instinct
0.0%
Druva
0.0%
Envoy
0.0%
Exo Imaging
0.0%
Fabletics
0.0%
Figma
0.0%
Grammarly
0.0%
Headspace
0.0%
Highspot
0.0%
KoBold Metals
0.0%
Lilac Solutions
0.0%
Magic Leap
0.0%
Mythic AI
0.0%
Patreon
0.0%
Rappi
0.0%
SandboxAQ
0.0%
Savage X
0.0%
Thrasio
0.0%
VideoAmp
0.0%
Whoop
0.0%
Treeline Bio
-0.1%
Chime
-0.2%
Sonoma Bio
-0.2%
Castle Creek
-0.5%
Bright Peak
-0.7%
Gusto
-0.9%
Resilience
-0.9%
Zero Mass Water
-1.3%
Algolia
-1.6%
AgBiome
-1.9%
Reddit
-2.5%
Noodle
-3.0%
Tory Burch
-3.0%
Convoy
-3.4%
Discord
-4.1%
Loadsmart
-4.2%
Epic Games
-4.8%
Lime
-4.8%
ClearMotion
-6.2%
Diamond Foundry
-6.3%
Redwood Materials
-8.2%
Delphix
-8.4%
Signifyd
-9.0%
MasterClass
-9.9%
Arctic Wolf
-10.0%
Astranis
-10.7%
Snyk
-11.5%
Caidya (dMed)
-11.7%
JumpCloud
-12.1%
Circle
-12.8%
Bowery
-15.4%
Xsight Labs
-21.3%
GupShup
-27.1%
KRY
-27.7%
Phononic
-30.3%
JUUL
-33.3%
Sila Nano
-34.9%
Rad Power
-38.8%
Nuro
-55.3%
BYJU's
-56.7%
Bolt Threads
-86.7%

1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings

This quarter, reporting holders marked up their private portfolios by 6.5% ($ weighted) with an average mark-up of 0.9% (equal weighted). This is the largest mark-up ($ weighted) since October, 2021. The period saw three companies advancing for every two declining companies.

BETA Technologies experienced the most significant mark-up, followed by OneTrust, Snorkel AI and Swiggy. FoodTech, AI & Machine Learning and Cybersecurity saw the largest mark-ups across sectors.

Bolt Threads experienced the most significant mark-down, while BYJU's, Nuro and Rad Power also experienced notable mark-downs. Among the sectors, EdTech, Crypto & Blockchain and Gaming saw the largest mark-downs.

Comparison of ZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks

CompaniesZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks
Intercom+156.20%
MasterClass+112.70%
Cybereason+87.00%
Figma+85.40%
goPuff+48.10%
Phenom+44.40%
Delphix+41.30%
GupShup+33.80%
Scale AI+23.80%
Cross River+19.30%
Canva+16.60%
Relativity Space+14.40%
Databricks+11.20%
OneTrust+11.20%
Circle+10.70%
Stripe+9.70%
ThoughtSpot+9.60%
Benchling+7.80%
Algolia+6.70%
Redwood Materials+3.00%
Carta+2.80%
SpaceX+2.30%
Chainalysis+2.20%
Druva-6.50%
Discord-9.90%
Flexport-10.70%
Diamond Foundry-13.00%
Whoop-15.70%
Dataminr-16.40%
Tanium-16.50%
Reddit-17.60%
Cohesity-17.90%
Moloco-17.90%
Fanatics-26.40%
Astranis-26.40%
Arctic Wolf-35.70%
Lookout-36.60%
Epic Games-38.80%
Celonis-41.50%
Snyk-41.50%
Bytedance-42.30%
Rappi-50.60%
Gusto-53.60%
Chime-59.80%
SambaNova-66.60%
Illumio-74.10%
Thrasio-82.10%

The variance between Fund Marks and ZX Index Values is considerable with 91% of ZX Index companies showing a deviation of 5% or more versus Fund Marks. Among the companies, Intercom, MasterClass and Cybereason had the highest positive variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values. Thrasio, Illumio and SambaNova had the highest negative variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values.

In August 2023 the SEC adopted new “Private Funds Rules” under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. As Ian Coffman, Director of Portfolio Valuation and Fund Advisory at Houlihan Lokey, comments, “One of the more notable provisions of the new SEC rule is the requirement for fund advisors to obtain a fairness or valuation opinion in connection with advisor-led secondary transactions. This provision is intended to mitigate the impact of potential conflicts of interest. Moreover, having access to independent secondary data such as ZXData could be useful in price discovery of the assets transacted within these opinions.”

Highest Variance in Reported Marks
CompanyNormalized Std Dev3$ Weighted AvgMaxMin
Rad Power.54$1.89$3.18$0.86
Blaize.33$1.21$1.57$0.75
Rapyd.33$57.75$77.21$39.37
Lookout.32$5.30$9.10$2.67
Databricks.27$57.40$91.69$45.80

3 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.

This period, Rad Power ($0.86 - $3.18) saw the highest share price variance across funds followed by Blaize ($0.75 - $1.57) and Rapyd ($39.37 - $77.21).

Positive Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Negative Trend Reversal5 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Positive Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Dataminr
8
goPuff
7
PsiQuantum
7
Talkdesk
7
Negative Trend Reversal5 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Pine Labs
6
Ant Financial, Snyk
3
Algolia, ClearMotion
2
Diamond Foundry, Phononic
2

4 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
5 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat

Dataminr saw its first positive reversal in two years while goPuff, PsiQuantum and Talkdesk saw their first positive reversals in seven quarters. Pine Labs saw its first negative reversal in six quarters while Ant Financial and Snyk saw their first negative reversal in three quarters.

Disclaimer

This report is based on data reported by 270+ funds and $47 billion+ of value. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance. This report does not constitute investment advice or a "research report" as defined by FINRA Rules.

The “ZX Index Value” is derived by applying proprietary weightings to the order flow data collected for the stated period (both bids and asks), based on the order type (firm order or indication of interest) and whether the order has been executed, with greater weight given to more recent orders.

Zanbato, Inc. (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for factual information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information is believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.

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